The most positive data for Biden comes from horse race polling. Before the political conventions, Biden held an eight point lead in national polls. Now, in the aftermath of a law and order themed Republican National Convention and unrest in Portland, Minneapolis, Kenosha and elsewhere, Biden leads by seven points.

So far, the market wildly prefers Gillislee: On average, he's an early fourth round pick, while the others aren't being drafted until the final rounds. The Patriots may again be among the league leaders in goal line rush attempts (they had a whopping 31 last year), but why assume they'll all go to one man? The last time New England had such a multifaceted backfield (in 2014), Shane Vereen had seven goal line rush attempts, Jonas Gray had six, Stevan Ridley had five and Blount had three. Until I know for sure he's the every week goal line option, I'm scared of Gillislee at his current ADP, and am intrigued by a late round gamble on the others..

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